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Earthquake probability models: Recurrence curves, aftershocks, and clusters
AuthorSavage, William Underwood
Geological Sciences and Engineering
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The application of the one-dimensional Poisson probability model to magnitude- and time-series of earthquakes can be an important aid in further understanding of the physics of earthquake occurrence, yet there are many features of earthquake sequences that are not described by the simple Poisson model. From a detailed examination of the axiomatic basis of the Poisson process in the context of observed earthquake magnitude-frequency and occurrence - frequency distributions, specific non-Poisson earthquake behavior patterns are identified and isolated for further study. Emphasis is placed on understanding the process of earthquake occurrence rather than on the determination of accurate mathematical models.
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